On Saturday, we shared with you, Cortana prediction of the final game of the Brazil 2014 World cup and as it turns out, the prediction was correct with Germany emerging victorious in the match.
“Thanks to Bing Predicts, Cortana has accurately predicted the winner in 15 out of 16 games of those popular soccer matches (a perfect bracket in the knockout rounds),” Microsoft said.
According to an article on Microsoft’s blog,
….the model in which Bing uses to predict sporting events like these soccer matches consists of a few things. It looks at the strength of each team through a variety of factors such as previous wins/losses/ties in qualification matches, other international competitions and margin of the victories in these competitions. Then other adjustments are made related to other factors that might give a team advantages over others like home field advantage (for Brazil), proximity (for South American teams like finalist Argentina), playing surface (hybrid grass), game-time weather conditions, and other factors.
The data can also be tuned based on win/lose/tie probabilities captured by the people wagering on the outcomes. This model doesn’t rely more heavily on any one element but rather has the advantage of dynamically and continuously adapting up until game time in an innovative way to give users the best possible prediction.
Now that the World Cup is over, I hope Cortana will be able to make accurate predictions when European leagues start soon, especially the English Premier league. 🙂